Derivation of Asset Price Equations Through Statistical Inference

نویسندگان

  • Gunduz Caginalp
  • Vladimira Ilieva
  • David Porter
  • Vernon Smith
چکیده

We develop a methodology to extract a quantitative model for behavioral effects in markets from empirical data. A set of 24 asset market experiments are utilized to derive an equation of price and its dependence on momentum, fundamental value, excess bid level and liquidity considerations. A difference equation is derived from a statistical analysis of the data. The methods are quite general and can be utilized in conjunction with other behavioral finance effects that influence price dynamics.

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تاریخ انتشار 2004